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  Comparing Historical Peaks & Assessing Inflation Risks POINTS The Nasdaq has continued to reach new record highs , fueled by AI innovation and a booming semiconductor sector. However, valuation metrics such as P/E and P/S are approaching historic peaks , raising concerns about a possible correction. Recent U.S. inflation data exceeded expectations , leading the Fed to signal a more cautious approach to rate cuts, causing a short-term dip in growth stocks. By comparing previous market peaks (Dot-com Bubble 2000, Pre-GFC 2007, Post-COVID 2021) , we can assess whether the Nasdaq is truly overheating. Will AI-related stocks continue to drive gains, or is a market correction looming? Key Factors Driving the Nasdaq Rally source : pixabay 1️⃣ AI Boom and Semiconductor Growth 📌 AI and Cloud Computing Demand Companies like NVIDIA, AMD, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon have seen massive stock gains as AI adoption accelerates. AI-driven data centers and cloud computing are fueling stron...

  POINT US retail sales decline increases expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut 10-year Treasury yield drops below 4.5% , marking a five-week rally S&P 500 and Nasdaq rise , while the US dollar weakens Meta and Dell stocks climb , but Intel and consumer-related stocks face potential adjustments US Retail Sales Decline: A Sign of Economic Slowdown? US retail sales in January fell by 0.9% month-over-month , marking the largest decline in nearly two years. This sharp pullback follows a strong consumer spending trend in late 2024. As a result, market analysts are now betting on an increased likelihood of a Fed rate cut. Expert Opinions David Russell (TradeStation) : "Consumer sentiment is weakening, which increases the probability of a Fed rate cut." Jose Torres (Interactive Brokers) : "This weak retail data has revived expectations for rate cuts, but the earlier inflation report this week remains a wildcard." Investment Strategy Implications Slowing consumer...